普京认怂了，可西方不一定买账

2015-11-26 12:25:29 | 来源：新浪微博 | 投稿：小山小山字当板砖 | 编辑：小柯

原标题：普京认怂了，可西方不一定买账

【快讯】俄罗斯渴望与美国、法国、甚至土耳其组成打击IS的联盟，但美国总统奥巴马警告，俄国须专注轰炸在叙利亚的ISIS圣战士，才有合作可能。

俄罗斯驻法国大使奥罗夫（Alexander Orlov）25日表示，俄罗斯准备与法国、美国，甚至土耳其合作，“建立共同联盟”对抗伊斯兰国（IS），尽管土耳其昨天击落一架俄罗斯战机使紧张关系升高，但若土耳其也想加入“共同联盟”，欢迎他们。但奥巴马警告，俄罗斯须专注轰炸在叙利亚的IS圣战士，而不是反对俄国盟友、叙利亚总统阿塞德的反抗军，才有合作的可能。

哇塞，与美国、法国结成联盟还说的过去，与土耳其，能尿到一壶吗？
普京认怂了，但西方可不一定买账，想舔都不给机会，可想而知，多幺尴尬。
嘲讽而已，因为事实就是这样。
俄罗斯战机被土耳其战机击毁，飞行员被残忍地击毙，营救直升机也被击毁，全世界屏息以待，大多以普京大帝侵占乌克兰克里米亚的强悍作风，怎幺样都要反击反击……或者至少做一个让中国的大批普京粉丝们不至于失望的铁汉姿态。
可结果呢，让世界跌破眼镜，普京认怂了，一夜之间，太快了点吧。

其实，别把普京看成什幺大帝，识时务者为俊杰，被土国一棒子早给打蒙了。

说到底，这个动荡不安的世界本质上就是实力的较量。

问题是，实力哪里来，什幺是实力？

我告诉你，就是盟友、朋友，就是凝聚、齐心，统一战线，普京如今孤家寡人，谁也帮不了他，谁也不愿与雪中送炭，心知肚明的中国当然也无能为力……

读读最新英文原文报道，理解不了的，查查字典，金博士微博可是学习之地。

大幅标题：

专家警告：俄罗斯与西方结成抗击ISIS统一战线，一厢情愿！

Anti-IS coalition with Russia is wishful thinking, experts warn

AFPNovember 26, 2015, 6:29 amShare

Paris (AFP) - Despite talk of a grand coalition between Russia and the West against the Islamic State group, experts warn that any such project would quickly run into obstacles.

Russia's ambassador to France became the latest diplomat to push the idea of greater cooperation between East and West on Wednesday, floating the prospect of a "joint command" against Islamic State (IS) jihadists.

It's an idea with particular currency in France, still reeling from the Paris attacks, whose President Francois Hollande called for a "large and single coalition" against IS, and is dashing from Washington to Moscow this week in a bid to rally supporters.

But few experts see it as a serious proposition, and the shooting down of a Russian fighter jet by Turkey on Tuesday underlined the challenges of forging a united front -- and the extent to which each actor is pursuing its own interests.

"Either it's a coalition dominated by the United States -- and Russia will not accept being under the US banner," said Bruno Tertrais, a military expert at the Foundation for Strategic Research in Paris.

"Or there's a joint decision-making mechanism, which would give Russia an effective veto on Western operations, which would clearly be unacceptable."

Tertrais said there was some scope for joint operations against specific targets, and Russia has clear political motives for talking up an alliance.

"Russia will certainly maintain cooperation with France, which gives it a supporter inside the EU and NATO," said Sarah Lain, an analyst at the Royal United Services Institute in London.

But she said that cooperation would likely be limited to cautious intelligence-sharing -- which Moscow urgently wants after one of its passenger jets was blown up by IS over Egypt last month.

- Deep splits over Assad's future -

Diplomats say coordination against IS targets is possible, and could make a difference.

"When (France) hits oil refineries, and (the US) hits a stock of oil tankers and the Russians say they will hit every oil tanker they see, then you can see the potential synergy," a senior French diplomat told AFP on condition of anonymity.

But many analysts see such efforts as hopelessly small-scale.

"So long as the Islamic State has a population that it can govern, it can continue to provide financing to its fighters and can dedicate resources to both internal and external enemies," said Firas Abi-Ali, a Middle East analyst for IHS Country Risk in London.

IS makes millions not only from oil, but from taxing its population, seizing crops, and extorting money from kidnapping, as well as receiving donations from supporters around the Middle East and beyond.

In an interview with AFP last week, counter-terrorism expert David Kilcullen said the US-led coalition was a long way from the sort of "serious air campaign" that was needed to hurt IS.

The US has been flying 10-15 sorties per day against IS, he said, compared with 250 strikes per day launched by NATO during the Kosovo war in 1999, or 110 per day during the Afghanistan invasion two years later.

"People who say the air campaign has failed need to be told we haven't done it properly yet," he said.

Moreover, analysts say no amount of military coordination between East and West will matter so long as they are divided on the future of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

Russia and Iran strongly support the Syrian leader, while the West wants him out of the picture.

Obama himself threw cold water on the idea of a grand coalition with Russia after meeting with Hollande on Tuesday.

The Russians need to make a "strategic shift" in their approach to Syria "that, frankly, I've talked to Putin about for five years now," said Obama.

Beyond removing Assad, global powers must also find a way to protect Sunni Muslim populations, since it is their hatred and fear of the Syrian and Iraqi regimes that have fuelled support for jihadist rebel groups.

"This is a political question that none of the Vienna talks or various international meetings are addressing," said Abi-Ali.

In the meantime, the conflict continues to radicalise and harden an entire generation of Syrians and Iraqis.

The civil war in Syria will continue to fester until at least 2017 or 2018, Abi-Ali wrote in a briefing note on Wednesday, "with the capability of terrorist groups to control territory and export violence expanding".

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